Who will WIN this matchup?
Baylor Bears (6-6)
Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6)
Current odds:
Baylor Bears: (+165)
Vanderbilt Commodores: (-190)
• The line for this game is Vanderbilt by 4 points.
• Baylor’s big turnaround has landed them in the Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl to face Vanderbilt at Houston’s NRG Stadium on Dec. 27. The Bears followed a one-win season in Matt Rhule’s first year with a 6-6 record and a trip to a bowl game. Rhule’s Temple team beat Vanderbilt 37-7 in the 2014 opener, which was coach Derek Mason’s first game with the Commodores.
• Vanderbilt junior running back Ke’Shawn Vaughn (1,001 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns on 144 carries) averaged an SEC-best 6.95 yards per carry and led SEC backs with seven runs of 40 or more yards. Vaughn, who also averaged 13.1 yards per catch, will be a big test for a Baylor team that has allowed 172.8 rushing yards per game. The Bears will also try to establish a ground attack after averaging 208.5 rushing yards in their six wins – 98 yards better than in their six losses.
• The Bears will be without receiver Jalen Hurd, who played through a knee injury in the regular-season finale to help the Bears beat Texas Tech and become bowl eligible. Hurd, named the B ig 12’s offensive newcomer of the year after recording 69 receptions for 946 yards and four touchdowns, had a procedure on Dec. 4. Hurd, who converted from running back to receiver after transferring from Tennessee, hopes to be healthy enough to play in the Senior Bowl in late January.
• The Bears will need to focus on protecting sophomore quarterback Charlie Brewer (2,635 yards, 17 passing touchdowns, six rushing touchdowns) and the ball after having a Big 12-worst minus-9 turnover margin and allowing a conference-high 37 sacks. Sophomore running back John Lovett (546 yards, five touchdowns) is coming off a career-high 126 rushing yards in the regular-season finale and junior receiver Denzel Mims (49 catches, 699 yards, team-high eight touchdowns) will try to replace some of Hurd’s production. The Bears lead the country with seven blocked kicks, getting three from sophomore end BJ Thompson (two extra points, punt) and two from senior end Greg Roberts (two field goals).
• Senior quarterback Kyle Shurmur (2,844 yards, 23 passing touchdowns) finished the regular season on a roll – completing 73.2 percent of his passes for 999 yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception over the final four games – and needs 119 passing yards, seven completions and 16 attempts to pass Jay Cutler’s Vanderbilt career records. Shurmur, who already has the career record with 63 touchdown passes, threw 16 of his TDs to junior receiver Kalija Lipscomb (81 catches, 886 yards) and junior tight end Jared Pinkney (45 catches, 698 yards). Junior cornerback Joejuan Williams had four of the team’s 12 interceptions as Vanderbilt finished the regular season plus-8 in turnover margin.
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